I don't do "guesses". They are unprofessional, often lead people to expending energy and resources foolishly, and when you guess wrong you give your enemies an advantage (and earn a bad reputation for your analytical skills.) So, what do I think is the next step in the Bundy Affair, given that BLM and Justice are taking the position that they made no deals and will continue prosecuting the matter?
If...
If .Gov decides it is important to recover Face in this matter, I would expect the Marshal service is brought in to arrest Cliven in order to enforce the existing court orders. "If" they come, they may arrest him in a low-risk environment, such as when he is out doing chores in town. "If" they decide to make more of a spectacle, they will come to his ranch, and you can bet your left dangly they will have logistics in place to lay siege and they will have manpower standing by to ensure any Patriot response dies in the desert.
But these are "Ifs", based on nothing more than impossible attempts to know the mind of many people in FedGov who will have competing interests and recommendations. We have no facts in evidence to support the notion that FedGov means to recover their dignity through the Bundy's.
Only time will tell. "If" they do return to the ranch and set up shop, "if" you plan on returning to the desert, you'd better pack for combat. They will not accept losing twice. They may come in hours, or days, months, or never. Anyone on the ground should keep an eye out for evidence of resources being put in place.
To you I would contend it is time to pivot. Patriots can't remain in force at every conflict spot. As it was clearly evident, we have little wind to stay in the game at one location very long, especially upon ground that is logistics-challenged. We can't protect every Cliven Bundy indefinitely. What we can do is avenge him if they come back and do him wrong. You should probably get used to that paradigm. Patriots will have much to avenge, and little ability to stop every wrong before it is committed.
Kerodin
III
