Donald Trump has brought out the largest crowds in the history of primaries. He has won the most victories, the most delegates, the most votes. He is poised to sweep three of the five largest states in the nation — New York, Pennsylvania and California.
If he does, and the nomination is taken from him, the Republican Party will be seen by the American people as a glorified Chinese tong.
But having gone head-to-head in some 30 primaries and caucuses, Cruz has fallen millions of votes behind Trump, and will fall millions further behind after New York, Pennsylvania and California.
Cruz will soon join John Kasich in being mathematically eliminated from winning the nomination on the first ballot. His fallback strategy is to keep Trump just short of the 1,237 votes needed for victory on the first ballot, and then steal the nomination on the second.
PJB - here.
I have run the numbers for the remaining Republican contests and determined that Trump is likely to head to Cleveland as much as 100 delegates short of 1,237.
There are 5 'Winner Take All' contests remaining in which Trump holds massive superiority in the polls (except California, where he is only up 7 or so). The delegates from these 5 come to 366. This takes Trump to 1,110.
In New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island and Oregon, Trump is also spanking Cruz/Kasich. These 4 states have 170 delegates, all proportionally allocated. Trump 'should' claim 90 or so from these proportional states, putting him near 1,200.
Factor more inside baseball maneuvers by Cruz, and by all indications Trump will likely enter Cleveland short of a clean win.
That's where things get sporty. That's where American history books will pick up an exciting new chapter on the political front.
That's why we'll be in Cleveland. People who self-identify on either side of the Left/Right political spectrum genuinely despise one another. They hold ideologies that are irreconcilable - and patience is likely as thin now as it was in the months leading up to Fort Sumter. On every front - from politics to the economy to Islam Rising in American neighborhoods - this nation is a gasoline-soaked explosion waiting to happen...
...and there are far too many people who think they can advance their agendas by playing with matches.
Man ca do naught but immitate, unless the Divine inspire him, or he be corrupted by consumate evil - thus can it be found in fact that there is nothing new under the sun. And here do we linger, in anticipation of that travail by which nations are made, and others destroyed; the sword of Damocles is above us - each, and all - and what gaze do we cast upon it - some trembling in fear, and yet others trembling with anticipation of the moment weherewith they might seize the sword, and thus rule by it. And all the while, the waters are surging below, a raging river of men in their needs, all crying out their expectations, their demands, a rushing cacophany of great volume, irresistably loud, and at once incomprehensible.ReplyDelete
For this is the world, and the nature of it; proof against all change and against all hope; save for those whose belief is not of this world, and whose hope is not laid up in the hearts of men, but upon the mercy of God alone.
"And I say to you, my friends: Be not afraid of them who kill the body, and after that have no more that they can do. But I will shew you whom you shall fear: fear ye him, who after he hath killed, hath power to cast into hell. Yea, I say to you, fear him."...
"Fear not, little flock, for it hath pleased your Father to give you a kingdom."...
"Let your loins be girt, and lamps burning in your hands. And [be] you yourselves like to men who wait for their lord, when he shall return from the wedding; that when he cometh and knocketh, they may open to him immediately. Blessed are those servants, whom the Lord when he cometh, shall find watching."...
All of which, leads to this -
"I am come to cast fire on the earth; and what will I, but that it be kindled?
And I have a baptism (of suffering) wherewith I am to be baptized: and how am I straitened until it be accomplished? [straitened here literally means "to be stretched out", or pulled upon with great force]
Think ye, that I am come to give peace on earth? I tell you, no; not peace, but division."
And from the days of John the Baptist until now, the kingdom of heaven suffereth violence, and the violent bear it away. For all the prophets and the law prophesied until John: And if you will receive it, he is Elias that is to come.
He that hath ears to hear, let him hear.
He who would stand at the gate, now is the time to stand forth and be accounted; and he who would be taken to his home, now also is the time of leaving; and he who would pipe a tune in the marketplace, yea doth thee pipe on; but unto him who cast forth demands and expectations, holding back to the sides of the way, crying out, 'come to me', keeping in the shadowed places awaiting fools and the preoccupied as for a prey, thy time is past, and thy account shall be numbered ahead of all.
WE HAVE BEEN WARNED